Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.173084 0.204382 0.239285 0.281034 0.329550 0.384088 0.449979
2024-12-22 0.121956 0.161629 0.210745 0.275755 0.359252 0.462571 0.599761
2024-12-29 0.095996 0.139568 0.198193 0.282233 0.398910 0.554349 0.776135
2025-01-05 0.076324 0.120103 0.183315 0.280224 0.423781 0.627047 0.934667
2025-01-12 0.061205 0.103345 0.168117 0.273450 0.438563 0.685000 1.077307
2025-01-19 0.049689 0.089484 0.154233 0.265294 0.448438 0.734924 1.211879
2025-01-26 0.043379 0.082756 0.150154 0.271339 0.480286 0.820814 1.410250
2025-02-02 0.037926 0.076385 0.145406 0.275084 0.508089 0.902433 1.609815
2025-02-09 0.033072 0.070144 0.139744 0.276048 0.530638 0.976992 1.804715
2025-02-16 0.029381 0.065431 0.136036 0.279773 0.558100 1.062266 2.026259
2025-02-23 0.026983 0.062879 0.135987 0.290235 0.598948 1.175076 2.307775
2025-03-02 0.023144 0.056546 0.127402 0.282530 0.603758 1.221860 2.472188
2025-03-09 0.020619 0.052742 0.123622 0.284422 0.628430 1.309959 2.726411
2025-03-16 0.017969 0.048153 0.117456 0.280409 0.640592 1.375225 2.943675
2025-03-23 0.016453 0.046013 0.116392 0.287347 0.676550 1.491469 3.273912
2025-03-30 0.014565 0.042557 0.111724 0.285397 0.692820 1.568806 3.532078
2025-04-06 0.012660 0.038667 0.105374 0.278530 0.697082 1.621040 3.742476
2025-04-13 0.010952 0.034957 0.098852 0.270237 0.696876 1.663319 3.935268
2025-04-20 0.010128 0.033607 0.098169 0.276389 0.731577 1.786096 4.316333
2025-04-27 0.009289 0.032041 0.096664 0.280200 0.760991 1.899705 4.687381
2025-05-04 0.008432 0.030241 0.094225 0.281181 0.783424 1.999283 5.035513
2025-05-11 0.007765 0.028908 0.092891 0.284971 0.813468 2.119678 5.443266
2025-05-18 0.007377 0.028425 0.093957 0.295615 0.862696 2.290930 5.987351